Ankara Temperature Market Guide
LTAC • Esenboga International Airport
Polymarket
Ankara, Turkey's capital, presents a continental climate trading opportunity in the heart of the Anatolian plateau. At over 3,100 feet elevation, the city experiences significant temperature extremes compared to coastal Turkish cities, with cold winters and hot, dry summers.
Quick Facts
| Station Code | LTAC |
|---|---|
| Location | Ankara, Turkey |
| Coordinates | 40.1281°N, 32.9951°W |
| Elevation | 3,125 ft (953 m) |
| Timezone | TRT (Europe/Istanbul) |
| NWS Office | Turkish State Meteorological Service |
| Resolution Source | NWS CLI Report ↗ |
About LTAC Weather Station
Esenboga International Airport (LTAC) serves as the primary weather observation station for Ankara. Located about 28 kilometers northeast of the city center, the airport sits at 3,125 feet (953 meters) elevation on the Central Anatolian plateau.
The station's high elevation and continental interior position create a climate markedly different from Turkey's Mediterranean and Black Sea coasts. Temperature observations follow World Meteorological Organization standards and are reported in Celsius.
Ankara's position in central Turkey places it far from any maritime influence, resulting in large diurnal and seasonal temperature ranges.
The station's high elevation and continental interior position create a climate markedly different from Turkey's Mediterranean and Black Sea coasts. Temperature observations follow World Meteorological Organization standards and are reported in Celsius.
Ankara's position in central Turkey places it far from any maritime influence, resulting in large diurnal and seasonal temperature ranges.
Climate Patterns
Ankara has a cold semi-arid climate (Koppen: BSk) with continental influences. The city experiences four distinct seasons with hot, dry summers and cold, snowy winters. The high plateau elevation amplifies temperature extremes.
Summer highs typically reach 30-35°C (86-95°F), occasionally exceeding 40°C (104°F) during heat waves. Winter brings cold conditions with highs often below freezing and lows reaching -10°C (14°F) or colder during Arctic air intrusions.
Precipitation is relatively low (around 400mm annually) and concentrated in spring. The dry summer months see minimal rainfall, and the thin, dry air allows for rapid nighttime cooling.
Summer highs typically reach 30-35°C (86-95°F), occasionally exceeding 40°C (104°F) during heat waves. Winter brings cold conditions with highs often below freezing and lows reaching -10°C (14°F) or colder during Arctic air intrusions.
Precipitation is relatively low (around 400mm annually) and concentrated in spring. The dry summer months see minimal rainfall, and the thin, dry air allows for rapid nighttime cooling.
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Open Live DashboardSeasonal Trading Considerations
Winter (December - February): Cold with frequent snow. Highs range from 0-5°C (32-41°F). Cold waves from Siberia can bring extreme cold. Temperature inversions common in the plateau basin.
Spring (March - May): Rapid warming but highly variable. Temperature swings of 15-20°C within a week are possible. Late frost remains a risk into April. Wettest season of the year.
Summer (June - August): Hot and dry with highs 30-35°C (86-95°F). Heat waves can push temperatures above 40°C (104°F). Large diurnal range due to dry air and elevation. Clear skies predominate.
Autumn (September - November): Pleasant early, then rapidly cooling. First frost typically in October. Increasingly unsettled weather as winter approaches.
Spring (March - May): Rapid warming but highly variable. Temperature swings of 15-20°C within a week are possible. Late frost remains a risk into April. Wettest season of the year.
Summer (June - August): Hot and dry with highs 30-35°C (86-95°F). Heat waves can push temperatures above 40°C (104°F). Large diurnal range due to dry air and elevation. Clear skies predominate.
Autumn (September - November): Pleasant early, then rapidly cooling. First frost typically in October. Increasingly unsettled weather as winter approaches.
Trading Tips for Ankara
Elevation is the key factor distinguishing Ankara from coastal Turkish cities. The 950+ meter altitude creates larger temperature swings and more extreme conditions than might be expected for the latitude.
The dry climate means large diurnal temperature ranges - summer nights can be 15-20°C cooler than afternoon highs. Factor this into timing-sensitive forecasts.
Watch for Siberian high pressure systems in winter. These bring the coldest temperatures and can persist for days, keeping highs well below freezing.
Summer heat waves are associated with hot air masses from the Arabian Peninsula or North Africa. Track 500mb heights and surface pressure patterns for heat wave potential.
The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) provides the most accurate local forecasts. European models (ECMWF) generally perform well for the Anatolian region.
The dry climate means large diurnal temperature ranges - summer nights can be 15-20°C cooler than afternoon highs. Factor this into timing-sensitive forecasts.
Watch for Siberian high pressure systems in winter. These bring the coldest temperatures and can persist for days, keeping highs well below freezing.
Summer heat waves are associated with hot air masses from the Arabian Peninsula or North Africa. Track 500mb heights and surface pressure patterns for heat wave potential.
The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) provides the most accurate local forecasts. European models (ECMWF) generally perform well for the Anatolian region.
Market Resolution Details
Ankara temperature markets resolve using the official daily maximum temperature recorded at LTAC as published by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (Meteoroloji Genel Mudurlugu). Temperatures are recorded in Celsius.
The observation day follows standard meteorological conventions. Market resolution may reference synoptic observations or daily climate summaries from MGM.
View Ankara Weather at MGM →
The observation day follows standard meteorological conventions. Market resolution may reference synoptic observations or daily climate summaries from MGM.
View Ankara Weather at MGM →
Forecasting Challenges
Continental Extremes: The lack of maritime moderation means temperature forecasts can miss significantly when air mass origins shift unexpectedly.
Elevation Effects: The high plateau creates different conditions than model output for lower elevations might suggest. Downscaling from model data requires careful adjustment.
Temperature Inversions: Winter inversions can trap cold air in the Ankara basin, leading to temperatures colder than surrounding highlands.
Limited English-Language Data: Most detailed local forecasts and observations are in Turkish, which may create information asymmetry for international traders.
Heat Wave Intensity: Summer heat waves can exceed 40°C, making the magnitude of extreme events difficult to forecast precisely.
Elevation Effects: The high plateau creates different conditions than model output for lower elevations might suggest. Downscaling from model data requires careful adjustment.
Temperature Inversions: Winter inversions can trap cold air in the Ankara basin, leading to temperatures colder than surrounding highlands.
Limited English-Language Data: Most detailed local forecasts and observations are in Turkish, which may create information asymmetry for international traders.
Heat Wave Intensity: Summer heat waves can exceed 40°C, making the magnitude of extreme events difficult to forecast precisely.
Historical Temperature Records
Record High: 41.2°C (106°F) recorded on July 30, 2000.
Record Low: -32.2°C (-26°F) recorded on January 1942.
Historical Note: Ankara's temperature records reflect its continental climate extremes. The city has recorded temperatures spanning more than 73°C (131°F) from record low to record high, demonstrating the dramatic range possible in this interior plateau location.
Record Low: -32.2°C (-26°F) recorded on January 1942.
Historical Note: Ankara's temperature records reflect its continental climate extremes. The city has recorded temperatures spanning more than 73°C (131°F) from record low to record high, demonstrating the dramatic range possible in this interior plateau location.
📡 Official Data Sources
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