Manila Weather Market Guide

RPLL • Ninoy Aquino International Airport

Polymarket

Manila, the capital of the Philippines, offers a tropical monsoon climate in the heart of Southeast Asia. Located on Manila Bay, the city experiences hot conditions year-round with distinct wet and dry seasons.

Quick Facts

Station Code	`RPLL`
Location	Manila, Philippines
Coordinates	14.5086°N, 121.0197°E
Elevation	75 ft (23 m)
Timezone	PHT (Asia/Manila)
NWS Office	PAGASA

About RPLL Weather Station

Ninoy Aquino International Airport (RPLL), commonly known as NAIA, serves as the primary weather observation station for Metro Manila. Located in Pasay City, the airport sits at 75 feet (23 meters) elevation on the shore of Manila Bay.

The Philippines' position in the western Pacific makes it highly vulnerable to typhoons. PAGASA (Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration) maintains official observations.

Climate Patterns

Manila has a tropical monsoon climate (Koppen: Am) with hot conditions year-round. The city experiences a pronounced dry season and a wet monsoon season.

Highs typically reach 31-34�C (88-93�F) year-round. The dry season (December-May) brings hot, humid conditions. The wet season (June-November) features heavy monsoon rains and typhoon threats.

The hottest months are typically April-May before the monsoon arrives.

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Seasonal Trading Considerations

Dry Season (December - May): Hot with highs 31-35�C (88-95�F). April-May hottest. Low rainfall.

Southwest Monsoon (June - September): Highs 30-32�C (86-90�F). Heavy rainfall. Typhoon season peaks.

Transition (October - November): Continued rain. Late typhoons possible.

Northeast Monsoon (December - February): Cooler and drier. Highs 30-31�C (86-88�F).

Trading Tips for Manila

Typhoons are the dominant weather hazard from June through November. The Philippines averages about 20 typhoons per year.

The southwest monsoon (habagat) brings heavy rain and slightly cooler temperatures.

The pre-monsoon heat in April-May typically produces the year's highest temperatures.

Urban heat island effects are significant in densely populated Metro Manila.

Data Release Schedule

Typical release times for key data products at RPLL. Times shown in UTC.

Data Type	Typical Time (UTC)	Variability
METAR Hourly observations	Hourly at :53	±1 min

6-Hour High/Low Reports

These METARs include 6-hour maximum and minimum temperatures, useful for tracking intraday temperature trends.

00:53 UTC

06:53 UTC

12:53 UTC

18:53 UTC

Note: Times are approximate and may vary. CLI reports are the official resolution source for temperature markets. See NWS Data Guide for more information.

Forecasting Challenges

Typhoon Effects: Tropical cyclones create extreme forecast uncertainty during wet season.

Monsoon Intensity: The strength of monsoon rains affects temperatures.

Pre-Monsoon Heat: April-May heat waves can exceed expectations.